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  Will there be a war between India and China?




  1.SaurabhKandhvey,Indian Enthusiast

  AnsweredSep 2, 2015

  OriginallyAnswered: Is a war between India and China reallypossible?

  Asboth are developing countries so they will avoid the warunless and until somevery serious problem occurs. India is a big market forChinese products so nopoint to destroy the big market but yes they will try tomake India weaker bysupporting Pakistan and other neighbors countries.



  SomePoints highlighted by Firstpost:

  Itwould also be instructive at this point to figure out whatChina wants and whatit may do to get what it wants.




  #1:The most likely territorial gain it seeks is probablyTawang in Arunachal,which houses a key Buddhist monastery that threatensChina's completedomination of ideological Tibet and its future. As long asTawang remainsIndian, China fears it could be a staging post for a futureTibetaninsurrection or even in the creation of a Dalai Lama based on Indiansoil. Aswe have noted before, Tawang is psychologically crucial to China’s holdonTibet as it was the birthplace of the 6th Dalai Lama and hosts animportant17th century Tibetan Buddhist monastery. The current Dalai Lama (the14th)spent some time in Tawang after he fled Tibet in 1959 post theChinesetakeover.



  #2:China believes that. It made a mistake in 1962 when itheld on to large areasof Aksai Chin in Ladakh to ensure easy access to Tibet,but voluntarilywithdrew from areas seized in the North-East, including Tawang.It wants torectify this by any means possible. This explains why it tried tointrude intoTawang in 2013. Rest assured, the Chinese troops who came by wouldhave takenexcellent pictures of the Indian fortifications and localtopography,especially details that could not have been captured from satellitecameras.



  #3:China's massive investment plan in Pakistan, whichincludes large areas ofPakistan-occupied Kashmir, is less about development andmore about a militarycapability. Chinese investment and construction activitiesin PoK are importantfor they indicate how much it is willing to risk in orderto defend itsinterests in the region.



  PoKand CoK constitute the vortex of central Asia: betweenthem, they abutAfghanistan, Tibet, the Islamic republics of Central Asia andChina’s ownalienated Muslim province of Xinjiang. So China’s massive investmentisintended to maintain a military presence in this area for defensiveandoffensive reasons: it will try to block jihadi influence in Xinjiang, andalsomaintain pressure on the Indian army on the Pakistan border.



  Nowconsider how China may be weighing the risks and benefitsof a short war overTawang.

  One,it will ask its lackey Pakistan to make the entirewestern border hot when itwants to pressure India. Pakistani firing andshelling of Indian positions hasbeen not so much on the Line of Control (LoC)but the settled internationalborder (IB). This has probably been done at theurgings of China. It means,when China winks, Pakistan can make the entireKashmir LoC and IB a livebattleground.

  Two,insurgency in the North-East will keep the army busy inNagaland and Manipur,while distracting us from Arunachal.



  China'scalculations could revolve around a quick surgicalstrike to capture Tawang -despite adverse terrain - or a bigger grab in Kashmirto use as a bargainingchip to gain Tawang. It may also be betting that Indiawill not fight too hardfor Tawang or threaten nuclear mayhem in retaliation.India has made themistake of not developing tactical nuclear weapons unlikePakistan, which willhave no qualms about using them if we make territorialgains on the westernfront.



  Inessence, China is developing a two-front war capabilityvis-à-vis India andhobble it with various insurgencies – a Pakistan-propped onein the west, and amore covert one in the north-east. The aim may be to get usto part withTawang, with or without a short war. With Tawang won, China willput up a showof magnanimity and offer to settle the borderelsewhere.

  Thepoint is simple: China will not see a shortborder war asnecessarily a bad thing. India should be more than ready for it,and must loseno time preparing for it.



  Thekey elements of our strategy should be the following:strengthen the army'spreparedness to defend Tawang and Ladakh at all costs andmake this obvious toChina; create the new mountain corps quickly, and speed upinvestment in borderinfrastructure; create a crash pan to develop and deploytactical nuclearweapons and make it clear that these will be used only on theChina border.

  Theparadox of Narendra Modi successful Asian diplomacyinvolving China's rivals(Japan and Vietnam specifically) is that China may wantto strike before Modimanages to strengthen India's economy, defences andalliances. This calculationmay have the adverse consequence of making Chinarush into a short war beforeIndia improves his fighting capabilities.

  Theonly way to prevent Chinese adventurism of the 1962 kindis to prepare for one.





  NakulKaushal, Associate Head of Promotion and Publicity atEntrepreneurship Cell,GLAU (2015-present)

  AnsweredJul 19

  Actuallythe war is not gonna happen for sure or if ithappens, it'll not take place allof a sudden.

  Youmight have heard the media and peopleeverywhere that theywant war but they don't even know the consequences of it!



  Onewar with any country means spending thousands of crorerupees in a quick spanof time and the risk that include of getting killed ofun-countable CIVILIANS of both the countries!

  Chinais behaving like it shouldn't. We aren't the biggestmarketfor Chinese goods but we are and in globalized economy, it's almostimpossibleto boycott Chinese products but can mollify its usage !




  AadityaVadnere, Indian

  AnsweredJun 30, 2012

  OriginallyAnswered: Will India ever go to war with China?

  Oftenthe impracticality of a third world war is pointed outby the fact that therival countries are major trading partners of each other.However, this has notstopped countries from going to war in the previous worldwar. Britain was infact a major trading hub for a number of nations till thewar broke out.Nuclear weapons in fact provide a clear deterrence for war.Nuclear weaponsassure mutual self destruction. Hence, no country can afford togo to warwithout preparing to sacrifice a few million of its citizens.